An Optimistic Scenario for the Midterms

1,500 words

All polls suggest that the Republicans are going to lose a lot of races in the US midterm elections a month from now. Sadly, they deserve to. Trump is the main problem: his lies, his megalomania, his broken promises, and most of all the Iran War and its mounting economic and political devastation in America and around the world. But Trump, as he likes to remind us, is not up for election in November. Thus public frustration with Trump will be vented on other Republicans.

But these Republicans deserve their fate, for two reasons. First, none of them have stood up against Trump. In fact, some of them, like the loathsome scammer Vivek Ramaswamy, are Trump’s creatures. Every Republican who gladly accepted Trump’s endorsement now wears an orange, spray-on kiss of death. Second, the Republicans have all been too busy competing with one another to kiss the feet of Benjamin Netanyahu to spare five minutes for the good of America.

They’re all going down, and it is beautiful, because it is just.

But the consequences will also be terrible, because the loony Left will be back in power. And, as I have been harping away on for years now, American multiparty democracy is coming to an end. The Left and the Right won’t be trading power forever, because both sides increasingly believe that it is too dangerous to hand the gun of state power to their opponents. Republicans, of course, being the Stupid Party, are coming to this realization slower than the Democrats. They are literal political retards.

A blue wave will also wash away all the good things Trump has done to reduce legal and illegal immigration, deport illegals, and roll back anti-whiteness. Yes, all of these accomplishments fall far short of what is needed. But they are a start. Beyond that, they give white identitarians time to organize and grow in power. This is important, because Republicans were never going to restore a white America. They don’t want that. Only we want it. It was always up to us.

When I voted for the Vance-Trump ticket in 2024, what I cared about most was immigration and demographics. Yes, rolling back anti-whiteness and censorship would have been nice. Yes, sensible economic nationalism would have been nice. But everything has a cost in time and political capital. I would have been content if Trump had spent 90% of his time and energy on immigration, immigration, immigration and left the other stuff for the Vance administration.

You can buy Greg Johnson’s Is America Doomed? here.

Trump would have had a free hand if he had done just three things for the voters: ensure prosperity, enforce laws against violent offenders, and preserve the peace. All he had to do was learn to say “no” to warmongering Jews. That’s what I prayed for as I gave Trump my vote.

But Trump blew it. He blew it in 2025 with his first war on Iran. At least that one was short. He blew it with his whimsical tariffs, which have set back the cause of protectionism for generations. He blew it by picking pointless fights with friends and allies. Trump is an abusive narcissist who doesn’t enjoy peace and stability. He will create chaos because it makes him the center of attention and makes everyone around him walk on eggshells. That’s no way to run a country.

In January of this year, I decided Trump needed to go, the sooner the better, because it was clear that he was going to destroy his presidency, return the Left to power, and erase his real accomplishments. That was before the (second) Iran War.

Imagine if we had avoided that.

There are people like me, who primarily voted for Trump on immigration, who will argue that we should stick with the Republicans, regardless of Trump’s betrayals on Iran, Epstein, affordability, and even on immigration, because if the Republicans can hold on, that will help fortify Trump’s genuine gains. If the most important thing is immigration, then voters should forgive all the rest. Then, I guess, they should pray.

Unfortunately, this argument only works on people who think long term, are focused primarily on immigration, and have a penchant for wishful thinking. There’s an old saying that a second marriage is a triumph of hope over experience. The same can be said for a second Trump presidency.

This argument will not persuade the majority of voters, who are short-term thinkers. These voters are far more concerned with rising prices, and they are far-sighted enough to see dimmer economic prospects for themselves and their children.

This argument does not matter to the people who Trump himself helped convince that America is run by a cabal of satanic pedophiles. In these people’s eyes, when Trump made an about-face on the Epstein client list, he was literally siding with supernatural evil.

This argument also fails to address spiteful voters, whose first instinct is to punish betrayal, regardless of the consequences to themselves. This is especially true of younger voters, who have a lot less to lose and are more willing to roll the dice than older generations.

Trump has shredded his electoral coalition, and since voters can’t punish him directly, they will punish other Republicans instead by staying home. Or, they will double the price of betrayal by voting Democrat. At this point, there’s no way to avoid a blue wave.

But maybe something good will come of it. Here’s my optimistic scenario. The Republicans could lose so badly that the survivors might come together to force Trump out of office, which would give J. D. Vance two years to correct course before 2028. On this scenario, the worse it goes for Republicans nationwide, the more likely the course correction. Thus I am hoping for a blue tsunami.

It is better for Republicans to pay the price of Trump’s betrayal this year, when only the House and Senate are up for grabs, than in 2028 when the White House is also at stake. Thus we should prefer that the Republicans take the maximum beating now.

Currently, the Republican Party is becoming more nationalist and populist one funeral at a time. A blue tsunami would be a massacre. It would end many political careers, allowing for younger and better Republicans to gain footholds. The sooner this happens, the better.

What could Vance do to turn things around in two years? First, if he leads the charge to remove Trump, he will earn the gratitude of the nation and the world. Second, as soon as he is president, he should tear up Trump’s stupid, megalomaniacal decrees renaming the Gulf of Mexico and Lake Ontario. It is a quick and easy way to signal the end of an era. Third, he should cancel Trump’s tariffs, because even though reshoring American industry is a good thing in the long run, for the next two years, it is more important to return to economic and political stability. Fourth, and most importantly, Vance should end the war. He doesn’t need some sort of face-saving victory. He simply needs to declare defeat and pull out. He can save face by scapegoating Trump, Hegseth, Rubio, Bessent, and every other goon who promoted this disaster. Fifth, he should release the unredacted Epstein files as a purgative measure. Finally, he should focus on improving the US economy and carrying out mass deportations.

What are the chances of this happening? Given the human material we are dealing with, maybe one in a thousand. But now that I have at least put these ideas out there, maybe they will circulate and raise the chances to one in 500.

A far more likely scenario is that Trump shamelessly refuses to step down, and the Republicans spinelessly refuse to remove him. Then, for the next two years, Washington will be gripped with paralysis as Trump fights off impeachment attempts, while Republicans pray for a miracle so they don’t have to do anything brave to save the nation. Instead, they will simply do what’s “safe” and virtuous and morally unimpeachable: kiss Jewish and black asses while America slides into the abyss. Then, in 2028, a Democrat will be placed in the White House to administer the coup de grâce. At that point, white Americans will have to think about other ways out of this mess besides voting.

Assuming a negative outcome, what should race-conscious whites focus on in the next two years, while the moldering political corpse of Donald Trump holds back the deluge?

My greatest hope is for Europe. If European nationalists can entrench themselves in the next two years—especially in Germany and France—then a Democratic administration in Washington is much less likely to drag Europe down with America.

Aside from that, race-conscious whites must continue to change minds and build institutions. The more people on our side and the fewer opposing us, the more likely we are to win. On November 4th, a lot of people will be questioning their political assumptions. We need to be ready to provide them with answers.